LOST IN THE WOODS FOOTBALL POOL 2017 – RULES
Cost: $10 for each half of the season. (1^{st} half covers weeks 19, 2^{nd}
half covers weeks 1017) ($20 for both halves).
$10 first half (mandatory) – 1^{st}
half
covers weeks 19
$10 poker first half (optional)
$10 survivor (optional)
$45 extra pain (optional)  individual weekly
contest, $5 per week
$10 total first and second
halves (optional) – covers entire season (I’m working on a halfhalf plan for
the total)
$85 for everything first half
$10 second half (mandatory)  2^{nd} half
covers weeks 1017
$10 poker 2nd half (optional)
$10 survivor 2nd half
(optional)
$40 extra pain (optional)
$70 for everything 2nd half
(optional)
$155 total for all
events.
How to
play: Each game is worth one point if you correctly
pick the winner using the spread. Favored
teams (favorites) are shown in the left column, with the estimated number of
points they will win by shown in the middle column. Home teams are shown in all CAPS. Here is an example:
Favorite
team Spread Underdog
(home
team) DENVER 8.5 Baltimore
This means that the oddsmakers
in Vegas think that Denver (home team) will beat Baltimore by 8.5 points.
If you think that Denver will win by 9
or more points (i.e. that they will “Beat the Spread”), then choose DENVER. If they DO win by 9 or more points, you will
get credit for a correct pick. If they
lose, or win by 8 or less points, you do not get credit for a correct
pick, because they did not “beat the spread”.
If you pick Baltimore, and they win, or lose by 8 or less points, you
get credit for a correct pick.
The total number of correct picks will be
tracked for the entire half of the season.
The person with the most correct picks at the end of the halfseason
WINS and receives the jackpot except that the 2^{nd} place person will
win $40! Then we all start over for the
2^{nd} half. If there is a tie, the
entire jackpot $ will be split between the winners (who are considered the 1^{st}
and 2^{nd} place winners).
Optional “Total Picks” Contest: Pay another $10 once at the
beginning of the season to enter a contest which combines the number of wins
from both the 1^{st} and 2^{nd} halves. The person who has the most total picks over
the 2 halves combined will win the money collected for this event, except that
the 2^{nd} place person will receive $25. If there is a tie, the entire pot will be split
between the winners (who are considered the 1^{st} and 2^{nd}
place winners).
Optional “Picks Draw Poker” Contest: Another optional contest, which costs $10 per
halfseason. You get one card each week,
which depends on the number of wins you have.
For example, if you get nine correct picks you get a “9”; eleven picks
you get a Jack. Getting 1 win or 01
losses gets a wild card! 310 are
selfexplanatory, 11 = Jack, 12 = Queen, 13 = King, 14 =ACE. There will be one hand of poker per
halfseason, based on 5card draw. The
initial deal of 5 cards is the first 5 weeks.
After the 5^{th} week, you can “discard” up to 3 cards, or 4 if
you have an ace. Then, the next few weeks
(depending on how many you discarded) will determine your new cards. The best poker hand will win the pot
collected from the players of this optional game. Standard poker rankings apply as described
here: http://www.pagat.com/vying/pokerrank.html. Note:
5ofakind are allowed and are the highest hand. ¼ of the poker pot goes to the winner based
on the calculated odds shown below.
Optional “Survivor” Contest: Give me your two most
confident picks without the spread.
Continue every week, until you have lost (or tied) THREE games, then you
are out of the contest. Cant pick the same team twice
during each half. We will continue until there is only one person left, who
gets the jackpot. The first half we can
continue making picks into the second half if necessary. The second half, if two or more people remain
going into the last week of each half, then each will provide the normal 2
selections and 5 additional picks, in order of preference. Those should determine the winner, if not
we’ll split the pot. If the last two (or
more) people end the contest the same week (all remaining players get their 3^{rd}
(or more) strike, they will split the pot.
How to
get and submit picks:
Weekly picks and results will be posted at www.midmozark.com/football . Games and picks are normally posted by
midnight Tuesday each week. Email all
picks to me at gapper1@yahoo.com. You can just list your choices, or somehow
highlight your selection from the list.
If you are TDY or unable to view the web
page, I usually get the games and lines from the Tuesday USA Today. For all whole number spreads shown, I usually
give the home team an extra ½ point (so that we don’t have a tie), except that
all 7’s will round down to 6.5, and 3’s will round down to 2.5. Sometimes no line is shown, and I will use
another source to get the line. If USA
Today doesn’t have a line, I found a good source at
http://www.footballlocks.com
If you can’t email the picks to me @ my
yahoo address, you can call them in. My cell
is 5735281880.
If you fail to submit picks for any given
week, the first time you will get HOME teams (but not to exceed the best
picker; and not eligible to win extra pain).
The 2^{nd} and later times, you will get wins equal to the worst
picker of the week. If you forget your Thurs/Sat picks (or leave out a
Sunday game) but send the Sun/Mon games you will be given away teams for the
missing Thurs/Sat games and your own picks for the Sun/Mon games. If you
send the Thurs//Sat games but don't send the Sun/Mon games you'll be given wins
equal to the worst picker.
Picks for Sunday/Monday games are due by midnight Saturday. This is a change, to make it easier on
me. I don’t like waiting around by my
computer until noon on Sunday. If
you’re lucky enough to submit Sunday morning before I do my summary I will
accept but you’re taking your chances! Picks
for Wed/Thurs/Sat games are due by gametime. On those weeks with Wed/Thurs/Sat picks, it
is OK to send that one and the rest later.
Except for valid technical difficulties, no changes of any kind allowed
after games are posted Sunday.
Thanks,
and good luck!
Note:
All money collected is paid out, none is kept by me, the “commissioner” for any
reason.

Alternative poker odds. Highest hands top down, left to right.

5 of a kind 
4 of a kind 
Full Houses 
3 of a kind 
straight 

2.01E17 

Aces 




9.85E15 



3/K, 3/2 


6.89E14 



K/A, 2/A 


1.85E13 



A/Q, A/3 


2.19E13 


Aces 



3.38E13 

Kings, 2's 




1.66E12 



A/J, A/4 


3.38E12 



K/2, 2/K 


5.61E12 



Q/A, 3/A 


8.06E12 



A/10, A/5 


2.24E11 



A/9, A/6 


3.7E11 



A/8, A/7 


6.34E11 



K/Q, K/3, 2/Q, 2/3 


1.51E10 



J/A, 4/A 


2.75E10 



Q/K, Q/2, 3/K, 3/2 


5.16E10 

Q's, 3's 




5.25E10 


K's, 2's 



5.71E10 



K/J, K/4, 2/J, 2/4 


8.19E10 




3 Aces 

1.61E09 



10/A, 5/A 


2.76E09 



K/10, K/5, 2/10, 2/5 


5.16E09 



Q/3, 3/Q 


7.42E09 



J/K, J/2, 4/K, 4/2 


7.47E09 



9/A, 6/A 


7.68E09 



K/9, K/6, 2/9, 2/6 


9.33E09 





Str 10A, A5 
1.27E08 



K/8, K/7, 2/8, 2/7 


1.59E08 



8/A, 7/A 


4.65E08 



Q/J, Q/4, 3/J, 3/4 


7.9E08 



10/K, 10/2, 5/K, 5/2 


1.25E07 

J's, 4's 




1.39E07 



J/Q, J/3, 4/Q, 4/3 


1.83E07 


Q's, 3's 



2.25E07 



Q/10, Q/5, 3/10, 3/5 


2.79E07 




K's, 2's 

3.66E07 



9/K, 9/2, 6/K, 6/2 


6.25E07 



Q/9, Q/6 3/9, 3/6 


7.78E07 



8/K, 8/2, 7/K, 7/2 


1.03E06 



Q/8, Q/7, 3/8, 3/7 


1.25E06 



J/4, 4/J 


1.48E06 



10/Q, 10/3, 5/Q, 5/3 


3.11E06 





Str 9K, 26 
6.07E06 



J/10, J/5, 4/10, 4/5 


6.46E06 

10's, 5's 




6.87E06 



9/Q, 9/3, 6/Q, 6/3 


1.34E05 



10/J, 10/4, 5/J, 5/4 


1.44E05 


J's, 4's 



1.46E05 



8/Q, 8/3, 7/Q, 7/3 


1.69E05 



J/9, J/6, 4/9, 4/6 


2.21E05 




Q's, 3's 

2.79E05 



J/8, J/7, 4/8, 4/7 


6.18E05 



9/J, 9/4, 6/J, 6/4 


6.46E05 



10/5, 5/10 


8.31E05 

9's, 6's 




0.000131 



8/J, 8/4, 7/J, 7/4 


0.00018 



10/9, 10/6, 5/9, 5/6 


0.000191 





str 8Q, 37 
0.000292 

8's, 7's 




0.000297 



10/8, 10/7, 5/8, 5/7 


0.000299 



9/10, 9/5, 6/10, 6/5 


0.00032 


10's, 5's 



0.00056 




J's, 4's 

0.000636 



8/10, 8/5, 7/10, 7/5 


0.000831 



9/6, 6/9 


0.001374 



9/8, 9/7, 6/8, 6/7 


0.001767 



8/9, 8/6, 7/9, 7/6 


0.002304 


9's, 6's 



0.002698 





str 7J, 48 
0.002921 



8/7, 7/8 


0.005296 




10's, 5's 

0.005972 


8's, 7's 



0.009894 





str 610, 59 
0.021232 




9's, 6's 

0.040827 




8's, 7's 
